Quote:
Originally Posted by Formerly YB-2
Just heard from our cruise company and we are being offered a no-fee reschedule on any cruise between now and 12/31/21 plus an on-board credit of $300. That works for us. Now to get with the airline and hotels. Think we'll go to Ottawa for the Canadian Tulip Festival in early May unless this turns into an epidemic. Maybe a few days in Quebec City. Can add a couple of silhouette matches to to the schedule, as well. All is not lost.
Best of luck to everyone on your travel plans.
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This is already a global pandemic...and its going to become considerably more widespread through the remainder of the year. This is not going to "blow over" by the Spring or Summer.
From some information I came across today based on published clinical and scientific data re: COVID-19. How Fast Will It Spread?
Using some statistical modeling, it appears that it is possible to reach 54 million infected within 12 months.
Back of the napkin estimate of possible Covid-19 spread in the USA.
Assumptions (IF):
- R0 = 3
- infectious period: 30d
- US infected today: 34×3=102
Projected # of infections:
2,700 in 3 months
75k in 6 months
2M in 9 months
54M in 12 months
(I'm not a virologist)
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