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Old 03-06-2020, 11:19 AM
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Puma Cat Puma Cat is offline
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Join Date: Aug 2010
Location: East Bay, CA
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Some FACTS for the gang's consideration:
f=ma

p=mv

pV = nRT

This is not Influenza Type B, H3N2

This is Coronavirus COVID-19

This is not an epidemic, this a global pandemic

The R0 of Influenza is 1.3; the R0 is COVID-19 is 3 and possibly as high as 4 (too little epidemiological data as yet for an exact figure).

The lethality index of Influenza B is ~0.1%; the 1918 Spanish Influenza, the deadliest strain on record, was 1.8.

The lethality index of COVID-19 is currently 3.39%; this is >33X as deadly as the "flu" (data from COVID-19 tracker here: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/)



Vaccines will not be available and approved by the FDA for a minimum of 12 months, & more likely, 18 months. By then, 54 million people in the US may be infected. This is approximately 1 in 6 persons.

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Last edited by Puma Cat; 03-06-2020 at 11:41 AM.